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Last week we took a look at the Giants position players and how they had fared after the first 35 games. This week we take a closer look at the pitchers and how they have performed thus far to the quarter mark of the season.
Overall as a group, the Giants rank 24th in the majors (15th in the NL) with a 4.88 team ERA (including a 5.04 mark at pitcher friendly AT&T Park) and they have issued the seventh most walks (155) while tying with Tampa Bay for the third fewest strikeouts (214). Led by ace starter Jason Schmidt, they’ve been a bit better of late though, posting a 4.41 ERA in the month of May, good for 17th in the Majors. In April, plagued by injuries (to closer Armando Benitez and starter Noah Lowry) and a shaky bullpen, their ERA was over ¾ths of a run per game worse at 5.21.
The starters overall, though, have been slightly better than average with a 4.60 ERA (14th in the league) and they lead the majors in IP with 254.1 while averaging over 6 innings per start. The bullpen on the other hand has been for the most part, terrible. Their 5.53 ERA ranks them 28th in baseball as does their opponents’ .293 BAA. Control has also been an issue, as they have walked over 4.5 batters per 9 innings, and as a whole, the team sports a 5.29 ERA from the 7th inning on.
But let’s now look deeper and examine how each Giants pitcher has performed in the 2006 season to date.
Starting Pitching
– 15-15, 4.60 ERA – 254.1 IP – 130 ER
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| Streaky, or rejuvinated? |
Giants ace Jason Schmidt began the season 0-2 with a 5.33 ERA in four starts. In 27 innings, Schmidt had walked 16 batters and struck out just 17 while allowing 23 hits. Since then, Schmidt has turned it around and in his last four starts he is 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA. In 32 innings during that span, he has struck out 25 and walked just 5 while surrendering just 18 hits, and has even been hitting 97 MPH on the radar gun for the first time since the 2004 season. Only time will tell if we are simply seeing more of the bouts of inconsistency than have plagued him for more than a year now, or if we are witnessing a return to the form that made him a Cy Young candidate.
High expectations have surrounded Matt Morris, who was signed to a 3-year, $27 million deal in the off-season. For the most part, he has not lived up to them. Morris made two good starts to begin the year (4 earned runs and 9 hits in 14 innings – 2.57 ERA) then struggled mightily over a span of six starts (0-4, 7.83 ERA – 31 IP) before rebounding in his most recent start on May 17 against Houston, in which he pitched 8 innings and allowed only 3 hits and 1 run to run his overall record to 3-4 with a 5.43 ERA. He has struggled badly against left handers, against whom he has posted an 8.06 ERA with a .291 batting average against. Versus right handers, those numbers drop way down to 2.96 and .235.
Signed to a 4-year, $9.25 million extension before the start
of the year, third starter Noah Lowry went down with a strain of his oblique
muscle in the home opener against Atlanta after pitching just 1.2 innings. He missed more than a month before returning
on May 8 and has made two starts since, beating
Jamey Wright,
signed to a minor league contract in the off-season, has been perhaps the
Giants’ most consistent starter this season, going 4-3 with a 4.23 ERA in 8
starts. He had one bad start against
Rookie Matt Cain
has struggled badly and was replaced in the rotation temporarily by Brad Hennessey after posting a 1-5
record with a 7.04 ERA in 7 starts. His
numbers are a stark contrast to his seven starts from last season, in which he
went 2-1 with a 2.33 ERA. His WHIP is up
from 0.93 to 1.54, and he has allowed 44 hits in 38.1 innings compared with 24
hits in 46.1 innings last season. More
notably, he has allowed 9 home runs already this year. However, after working on the side with Pitching
Coach Dave Righetti, Cain threw two perfect innings in relief on May 16 in
The 26 year-old Hennessey impressed the club while Lowry was out and boasts a solid 2.87 ERA (3.07 as a starter) with a 3-1 record. The key for Hennessey has been limiting the number of base runners allowed as he has reduced his WHIP to 1.34, down from 1.51 last year. Hitters are batting just .233 against him as well, down from .276 last season and .294 the year before. One unsightly area for concern is with his K/BB ratio of 0.67. In 31.1 innings this season, Hennessey has struck out just 10 batters (a rate of just 2.87 per 9 innings) while walking 15 (4.31 per 9).
Bullpen – 6-5,
8/12 SV - 5.53 ERA – 67 ER – 109 IP
Closer Armando Benitez began the season on the DL with a
strain of his left knee. When he
returned on April 20, he did so without a lot of his velocity. Yet through guts and guile, he has done well,
allowing no runs on just 5 hits in 6.2 innings over 7 appearances. He has walked 5 batters, but three of those
came during a two inning stint against the Mets. His only blemish was a blown save in his
first appearance, a game in
The 39 year-old Worrell was signed in the off-season to a two-year deal to be the primary right handed set up man and backup closer. He got off to a quick start, earning six saves and posting a 1.23 ERA in Benitez’ absence, but he has since struggled, allowing 10 runs in 7 innings (12.86 ERA). In sixteen total appearances covering 14.1 innings, he has also allowed 6 home runs and batters are hitting .306 against him. His ERA is 6.91. He has been particularly ineffective against right handed hitters, who are batting .406 against him while averaging 17.55 hits allowed per 9 innings.
Steve Kline was
acquired from
Sinkerballer Scott
Munter has not had problems getting the ground balls (his GO/FO ratio from
last year is actually up to 3.30 from 2.67).
Rather, his problems have stemmed from getting hit hard and walking far
too many hitters. He has allowed 21 hits
and walked 10 in just 16 innings.
Hitters are batting .368 and slugging .491 against him and he has
averaged nearly 2 baserunners per inning
pitched. Though he has not allowed a run
in 3 of his last 4 outings, with rookie Brian
Wilson due off the DL soon, Munter may soon find himself in
25 year-old Kevin
Correia has spent the last three seasons bouncing back and forth between
the big league club and
When talking about 24 year-old hard throwing Jeremy Accardo, inevitably the conversation
will drift to his “stuff.” Undrafted out of college, it is
his “stuff” that has the Giants thinking that Accardo is a closer in
waiting. He began the year on the big
league roster, compiling a 7.71 ERA in 2.1 innings, only to be optioned out on
April 16. He returned 8 days later when
After compiling a 1.62 ERA in 50 innings at three different
stops last year in his second season of professional ball, the right handed
Jack Taschner began
the season in the bullpen but after allowing 9 runs on 11 hits with 2 walks in
2.1 innings over 6 appearances (34.71 ERA); he was demoted to
The Since Departed
Walker and Jeff
Fassero began the season with the Giants, but pitched their way out of
The 43 year-old Fassero was designated for assignment on May 9, with the purpose of giving the veteran lefty his outright release. He pitched 10 times for the team (including one start) and never got on track, allowing 23 hits and walking 8 over 15 innings. His ERA was 7.80. He is likely to retire.
Down on the Farm
Triple-A
Merkin Valdez,
once a rising star acquired from the Braves for Russ Ortiz, has struggled in
his new role of closer, walking 12 and giving up 17 hits in 16.1 innings (4.96
ERA) in 15 games with 4 saves. Lefty
prospect Erick Threets has pitched 14
times and has a 3.78 ERA. Carlos Hines (acquired from
Double-A
SP Patrick Misch is 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA in 7 starts. He has struck out 38 and walked 9 in posting a nice 0.91 WHIP. Starter Garrett Broshuis has a 1.83 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 6 starts. Lefty reliever Jonathan Sanchez has caught the eye of Giants skipper Felipe Alou as well as the Giants’ top brass by striking out 39 batters and allowing just 13 hits while recording a 1.33 ERA with a 0.78 WHIP in 27 innings. He has now struck out 266 batters in 201 minor league innings, and is likely to be a September call-up if not sooner.
Single-A
SP Nick Pereira has sparkled in 7 starts with a 5-0 record and a 1.07 ERA in 42 innings. He has also struck out 44 while walking only 9 and giving up just 28 hits for a 0.88 WHIP. Reliever Thomas King has a 1.14 ERA in 14 games, although he also has issued 15 free passes. Brooks McNiven has a 2.21 mark in 20.1 innings while striking out 21 and walking only 4. Justin Hedrick has 21 K and 6 BB in 17.1 innings with a 1.56 ERA and a WHIP of 0.92. Closer Brian Anderson has 9 saves and a 1.00 ERA in 18 innings. He has struck out 20 and walked 4 in posting a 0.83 WHIP.
Final Analysis –
Overall record 21-20; T-4th NL West (through 5/17)
Of course at the quarter mark of the season, no analysis is going to be final. But to this point it’s clear that the team’s pitchers (in particular the relievers) have performed woefully inadequately. Still, there have been recent signs of improvement, and with nearly two weeks left in May, there is still plenty of time to turn things around.
To do so, the team will need to see more of what they saw in Morris’ last start as well as see a continued resurgence by Schmidt. They must hope for Lowry to remain healthy, for Wright to continue his effective pitching, and they must also not be afraid to turn to Hennessey in the event Cain continues to struggle.
They must continue to see Benitez prove himself healthy and effective. They’ll need to get consistent performances out of Correia and Accardo, as well as Kline and Munter, if they hope to compete in a stronger than expected NL West.
They must also hope for a turnaround from Worrell. At 39, it would be hard to move him (as they did with Walker) and having him signed to a two-year deal makes it less likely that the team would opt to simply cut their losses and release him (a la Fassero).
Taken as a whole, the Giants pitchers’ performance thus far has not been very good. Still, there have been certain signs (Correia and Accardo most specifically) that improvement is not only possible, but likely. This, coupled with the recent improvements in the lineup (Durham, Matheny and Feliz have all gotten hot since last week’s recap of the hitters), as well as their current position in the standings, gives the team and its fans hope for a solid, competitive second half.
Disagree with something? Got something to add? Wanna bring up something totally new? Richard lives in San Francisco and can be reached at richard@baseballevolution.com.